Why Dodgers’ Tarik Skubal trade package was modest best-case scenario

What had felt inevitable has now become reality. Tarik Skubal is the Dodgers’ latest superstar acquisition.
As the dust settles, Los Angeles celebrates and the rest of the baseball world processes the club’s latest blockbuster move, here are five initial takeaways on the transaction — which only further bolster the Dodgers’ World Series three-peat pursuit.
Modest cost
While specific opinions vary, sources inside the Dodgers’ organization and around the rest of the industry shared a similar sentiment Saturday night.
For a reigning two-time Cy Young Award winner, the Dodgers didn’t have to give up all that much in their package: parting with one consensus top-100 prospect in outfielder Zyhir Hope, a highly talented but also injury-prone Triple-A pitcher in River Ryan and a promising-but-very-much-raw Single-A pitcher in Brady Smith.
It’s not that those three aren’t intriguing, several evaluators noted. One rival scout even predicted all three to have big-league futures, noting that while “there is a question to how much impact [they’ll have], there is some ceiling to each.”
The surprise, however, was that the Tigers got no one at the very top of the Dodgers’ system (such as outfielders Josue De Paula, Mike Sirota and Eduardo Quintero; all of whom are top-20 talents in the entire sport), nor from their current MLB-leading big-league roster (such as experienced big-league starters Justin Wrobleski or Emmet Sheehan).
As one executive noted, president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman “worked his magic again” to pull it off.
Historically stacked rotation
There will be many superlatives and historical factoids used to describe the sheer talent in the Dodgers’ current rotation. A few of the early examples:
–– The Dodgers become just the 12th team to have a pair of previous multi-time Cy Young winners on the same team, with Skubal joining fellow two-time recipient Blake Snell (per Sarah Langs of MLB).
–– For the first time in history, one team will have both a reigning two-time Cy Young winner and a reigning two-time MVP, with Skubal and Shohei Ohtani having wrapped up such hardware each of the last two seasons (per OptaStats).
–– The new starting pitching group now boasts a combined 13 All-Star selections, a Triple Crown winner (Skubal in 2024), a World Series MVP (Yoshinobu Yamamoto in 2025) and (barring an absolute shock in Skubal’s free agency this offseason) five pitchers to have signed nine-figure contracts.
–– Oh yeah, and the Dodgers’ rotation had already been the best in the sport this year, even before Skubal’s arrival and despite more injury problems. At the time of the trade, the unit ranked first in the majors in ERA (3.36, the best mark by any team since 2022), first in WHIP (1.06), third in innings pitched (615 ⅔) and sixth in strikeout rate (24.1%).
Stretch run decisions
In the near term, the Dodgers’ main focus will be on getting healthy, as Snell (elbow) finishes a rehab assignment, Tyler Glasnow (back) prepares to begin one and Ohtani (knee/biceps) works toward ramping up as a pitcher again.
Over the final two months, however, the team will have to make decisions about how it allocates its starting pitching resources, with no more than four full-time starters likely needed for its playoff rotation.
Further injuries, of course, could take care of such calculations. But if the team is at full health come the playoffs, one of its veteran arms (along with Wrobleski, Sheehan and Roki Sasaki) would probably find themselves moving to the bullpen.
For the Dodgers, it’s the best of all problems to have. Two years ago, they ran out of starting pitching during their first World Series run. Now, they could stock two full rotations that would be capable of competing.
Insurance for Shohei Ohtani
The most important part of Skubal’s arrival might be the pressure it takes off Ohtani.
If he doesn’t throw a pitch the rest of the season, the Dodgers might not be any worse off for it.
Granted, that is not at all the plan now. The Dodgers have said repeatedly in recent weeks they expect Ohtani back on the mound by the end of the season.
However, his knee is continuing to plague him. And his bat remains his far more valuable asset to the team.
Without Skubal, any potential postseason absence of Ohtani on the mound likely would have been filled by Wrobleski (who was an All-Star this year but has never started a playoff game) or some piggyback combination along with Sasaki or Sheehan.
But now, the Dodgers can afford to be that much more cautious with their two-way star and that much more careful with his workload in October.
Free agency first impressions
Clearly, Skubal was torn about leaving Detroit, as his emotional post-trade address on Saturday night displayed.
But now, the Dodgers will get the chance to make a strong impression on him (and gather some intel of their own) ahead of his free agency this offseason — when, like with all star players, they were expected to be contenders for a potentially record-breaking agreement.
Granted, the Dodgers have made numerous trade deadline splashes under Friedman before, including Yu Darvish, Manny Machado, Max Scherzer, Trea Turner and even Jack Flaherty.
None of them, once they reached free agency, wound up re-signing in Los Angeles long term.
Then again, none of them were at the pinnacle of their position in quite the same way Skubal is now (even after missing time with an elbow procedure earlier this year, he is 7-5 with a 2.79 ERA and 116 strikeouts in 96 ⅔ innings).
And if he can help be part of a three-peat World Series triumph, it might make him all that much more likely to stay.