Karen Bass faces political gulag after Nithya ‘Red’ Raman’s revolutionary poll surge
The poll results are in, comrades, and it looks like deep-blue LA is about to fall to the reds.
The California Poll survey, conducted among 400 likely voters from Oct. 15 to 18, shows that socialist Nithya Raman has an eight-point lead on incumbent Karen Bass in the race for LA mayor.
Raman has 46.7% support, and Bass has only 38.8%.
Ouch.
But it gets even worse for the incumbent.
A staggering 71.7% of likely voters disapprove of the job Bass is doing. Only 25.5% approve.
Moreover, 70.3% of voters have an unfavorable view of the mayor. Only 27.3% have a favorable view. She’s 43 points “underwater.”
Those aren’t numbers that Bass can overcome by Nov. 3.
The reason: Voters are struggling to make ends meet in LA.
When asked what the most important issues are, voters stress economic issues. The cost of living. The price of housing. The heavy taxes.
And it’s hard to see where the money goes. The homelessness problem is getting worse, not better.
Everyday pleasures are almost unaffordable. It costs $18 to park at Venice Beach in the summer. A flavored latte at Starbucks costs almost $6.
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No wonder 66.2% of voters think that the city of LA is headed off on the wrong track. Only 16.4% think it is on the right track.
And 42% have thought about leaving LA altogether.
They are taking out their frustrations on Bass. Whether their top issue is homelessness (47.3%), or the cost of living (41.7%), or housing costs (35.4%), they blame the mayor.
And here’s the real problem for Bass: Her opponent has a net favorable rating among voters.
That’s right: Even though Raman was once so unpopular in her own district that she faced a recall effort, today 45.4% of likely voters have a favorable view of her, and only 43.7% have an unfavorable view.
There is a split along class lines: 54% of those making less than $100,000 per year have a favorable view of Raman, versus 33% with an unfavorable view.
But among people making more than $100,000 annually, only 40% have a favorable view of Raman, and 53% have an unfavorable one.
Now for the truly astonishing part.
Socialism, and socialists, have been on the receiving end of a lot of criticism during this election cycle.
President Donald Trump and the Republican Party have singled out socialists like New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani.
That may play well outside California.
But in LA, 44.2% of likely voters have a favorable opinion of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). Only 41.3% have an unfavorable view.
That’s right: Socialism is a winner in La La Land.
Young people in particular (under 55) have a positive view of the DSA: 50% favorable, versus 36% unfavorable.
Those over 55, perhaps those old enough to remember the Cold War, disapprove of socialism, 49% unfavorable to 35% favorable.
One wonders if those young voters really understand what socialism means.
Raman’s local DSA chapter has a truly bizarre manifesto, which includes seizing private property and preventing homeless encampments from being removed.
Will the same voters who say homelessness is their top issue also vote to prevent homeless encampments from being removed?
Anything is possible. After all, the same electorate that said the cost of living was its top issue in the June primary also voted for a 0.5% sales tax increase in LA County.
Then again — perhaps LA voters know exactly what is going on.
When asked what they like least about Raman, voters cited her socialism.
The poll also found that 41% of voters describe Raman as “extreme,” while only 16% say that about Bass.
Amazingly, some of the voters who called Raman “extreme” are voting for her anyway.
That’s because 37% of the electorate believe Raman “cares” about them. Only 23% say that about Bass.
Perhaps that’s why Raman is beating Bass in every part of LA — except for the Westside and Harbor area.
Ironically, that’s the same area she lost to Rick Caruso four years ago.
One would think the Westside would be tough for Bass to win, after the Palisades Fire.
Indeed, when voters were asked what they like least about Bass, the top answer was “wildfire response.”
LA’s wealthier communities believe that as bad as Bass has been, Raman will be worse.
Bass is losing on her old turf in east and central LA, though she still leads among black voters and women.
Her only hope is turnout.
Raman has already shown she can harvest ballots with the best of them, catching Spencer Pratt when late results came in after the primary.
Bass’ command of the Democratic Party machine is no longer secure.
If she runs her get-out-the-vote operation the way she runs the city, Bass may be in serious trouble.
Joel Pollak is Opinion editor of the California Post.