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Lionel Messi has all but locked up the Golden Ball, with Kalshi pricing him as a 90 percent favorite to win the tournament’s Player of the Tournament award even before the World Cup Final.

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New York Post readers who enter the Polymarket promo code NYPMAX when creating an account are eligible to receive a free $50 bonus after they make their first deposit of $20.

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What our Post expert thinks about the World Cup Golden Ball

The market suggests Messi is likely to claim the honor regardless of Argentina’s result against Spain, a testament to his eight goals, four assists and influence throughout the tournament.

If he does, Messi would become the first player to win the Golden Ball in consecutive World Cups after previously earning the award in 2014 and 2022. 

Spain captain Rodri sits a distant second in the market, with his strongest path to individual recognition likely coming through the Silver Ball if La Roja lift the trophy.

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Why Trust New York Post Betting

Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.