Christian Scott will take the mound for the Mets on Sunday against the Nationals. 

The right-hander has been a small bright spot in a season with few of them for the hapless Amazin’s, but the Nats may be catching him on a downswing, just like they did earlier this season. 

In mid-May, just before he turned his 2026 season around, Scott had a shaky start at best in the nation’s capital. 

Scott allowed three earned runs on four hits with three walks and a hit batter across just four frames. 

He would allow just one earned run over his next three outings, but he’s back to looking like his back-of-the-rotation self from 2025 of late. 

Over his last four starts, Scott has posted a 5.30 ERA, bringing his season-long ERA all the way up to 3.45. 

Aside from a decent strikeout rate, no part of Scott’s game has looked particularly solid, having allowed 22 hits and walked seven batters over that stretch. 

If that trend holds, that’s plenty of traffic for a strong Washington offense. 

Despite a losing record, the Nationals have been perhaps the best hitting team in baseball this season, scoring an MLB-leading 663 runs and hitting 177 home runs heading into Saturday’s play. 

That makes this less of a bet on Scott getting shelled and more of a wager that Washington can take advantage of a few mistakes on a struggling arm over five or six innings.

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The Nats should have enough opportunities to scratch across the two earned runs needed to cash this modest number.

The play: Christian Scott to allow more than 1.5 earned runs (-150, bet365 Sportsbook)

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Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.